Win Shares Per Plate Appearance

 

by Cyril Morong

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Click here to see my sabermetric blog called Cybermetrics

 

 

The back of the Win Shares book by Bill James proclaims “Win Shares, a revolutionary system that allows for player evaluation across positions, teams and eras, measures the total sum of player contributions in one groundbreaking number.  James’ latest advancement in the world of statistical analysis is the next big stepping stone in the “greatest players of all time” debate.

 

This website shows how the greatest players rank in Win Shares (WS) per plate appearance (PA).  I did this because WS can never be negative, so the longer a player plays, the more WS he gets.  So I wanted to see how good each player was per plate appearance, sort of by quality instead of quantity. Actually, instead of just dividing WS by PA, I multiplied it by 648, to get an idea of how many WS they would have for a full season.  I used the Lee Sinins Sabermetric Encyclopedia to get PA for each player.

 

Players included in the study had either at least 5000 (PAs) or at least 141 WS or both through the 2001 season.  A few players like Kid Gleason and Cy Seymour, who got alot WS from pitching are not included because I could not easily determine how many of their WS came from pitching.  This information, however, was clearly stated in the book for Babe Ruth.  So his WS per PA has his pitching WS subtracted. There is also a ranking with only players who had 7500 PA. This is at the end.

 

I first look at what the breakdown is by position for both the top 100 players and the bottom 100 players.  Then I present the ranking of the 861 players in the study.  Then players are ranked by position.

 

Top 100 Profile

 

Below are how many players from each position were in the top 100 in WS/648PA:

 

Position

Count

% of Total

Expected %

1B

18

18.00%

12.50%

2B

8

8.00%

12.50%

3B

6

6.00%

12.50%

C

12

12.00%

12.50%

OF

50

50.00%

37.50%

SS

6

6.00%

12.50%

 

 

Some observations:

 

1. Players were listed at a position if they played more games there than any other position.  Outfield was counted as one position.

2. Outfielders are very over represented among the top 100 players.

3. Infielders, especially shortstops and third basemen are very under represented among the top 100 players.

 

If WS is supposed to allow for comparisons across positions, this is a surprising result.  Why would so few infielders be in the top 100?  Are outfielders really better than infielders?  Consider the two following teams of eight players. The players on the left are the top 8 in WS/648PA.  The players on the right are the best of the remaining players at their position.  Which team would you expect to win more games if they each had average pitching staffs?

 

Babe Ruth

 

Joe Jackson

Mickey Mantle

 

Willie Mays

Ted Williams

 

Lou Gehrig

Honus Wagner

 

Joe DiMaggio

Ty Cobb

 

Mike Piazza

Barry Bonds

 

Eddie Collins

Rogers Hornsby

 

Mike Schmidt

Tris Speaker

 

Arky Vaughan

 

The team on the left lacks a first baseman, third baseman and catcher.  The team on the right has one player for each position.  Win Shares says that the team on the left must be better since all eight of those players ranks higher than all eight of the players on the right.  Yet the team on the left might not field some positions very well and therefore may not be as good as the team on the right.

 

Bottom 100 Profile

 

What does the bottom 100-player profile look like?

 

Position

Count

% of Total

Expected %

1B

11

11.00%

12.50%

2B

30

30.00%

12.50%

3B

8

8.00%

12.50%

C

4

4.00%

12.50%

OF

21

21.00%

37.50%

SS

26

26.00%

12.50%

 

The reverse of the top 100 is true.  Many fewer outfielders than expected.  But many more second basemen and shortstops than expected.

 

Complete Profile

 

What about the profile of all the players?  There are 861 players in the ranking.  Seven were DHs, so the percentages below in the third column are based on a total 854. The average refers to average WS/648PA.

 

Position

Count

% of Total

Expected %

Average

1B

122

14.29%

12.50%

20.51

2B

107

12.53%

12.50%

18.83

3B

96

11.24%

12.50%

19.92

C

68

7.96%

12.50%

20.98

OF

354

41.45%

37.50%

21.13

SS

107

12.53%

12.50%

18.44

 

Notice that catchers and outfielders have a much higher average than shortstops.  Have catchers and outfielders really been better players than shortstops in baseball history? The low number of catchers might be explained by the wear and tear of the position, making hard to get to 5000 PA.

 

The Complete Rankings

 

Rank

Player

WS per 648 PA

POS

1

Babe Ruth

39.92

OF

2

Mickey Mantle

36.95

OF

3

Ted Williams

36.74

OF

4

Honus Wagner

36.16

SS

5

Ty Cobb

35.79

OF

6

Barry Bonds

34.56

OF

7

Rogers Hornsby

34.33

2B

8

Tris Speaker

34.05

OF

9

Joe Jackson

33.48

OF

10

Willie Mays

33.30

OF

11

Lou Gehrig

32.80

1B

12

Joe DiMaggio

32.69

OF

13

Mike Piazza

31.82

C

14

Benny Kauff

31.82

OF

15

Eddie Collins

30.90

2B

16

Stan Musial

30.79

OF

17

Nap Lajoie

30.73

2B

18

Charlie Keller

30.68

OF

19

Dick Allen

30.30

1B

20

Mel Ott

30.18

OF

21

Frank Chance

30.12

1B

22

Mike Schmidt

30.08

3B

23

Dan Brouthers

29.97

1B

24

Hank Aaron

29.89

OF

25

Arky Vaughan

29.88

SS

26

Johnny Mize

29.71

1B

27

Elmer Flick

29.42

OF

28

Home Run Baker

29.29

3B

29

Joe Morgan

29.29

2B

30

Jimmie Foxx

29.15

1B

31

Yogi Berra

29.06

C

32

Frank Thomas-cws

29.02

1B

33

Mark McGwire

28.93

1B

34

Eddie Mathews

28.87

3B

35

Gabby Hartnett

28.86

C

36

Bill Dickey

28.82

C

37

Billy Hamilton

28.77

OF

38

Mickey Cochrane

28.71

C

39

Jackie Robinson

28.70

2B

40

Frank Robinson

28.64

OF

41

Jeff Bagwell

28.48

1B

42

Hank Greenberg

28.38

1B

43

Alex Rodriguez

28.23

SS

44

King Kelly

27.91

OF

45

Roger Bresnahan

27.86

C

46

Roy Campanella

27.85

C

47

Duke Snider

27.69

OF

48

Wally Berger

27.58

OF

49

Larry Doby

27.56

OF

50

Dave Orr

27.55

1B

51

Pete Browning

27.43

OF

52

Ed Delahanty

27.41

OF

53

Al Rosen

27.41

3B

54

Willie McCovey

27.30

1B

55

Sam Crawford

27.28

OF

56

John McGraw

27.16

3B

57

Gene Tenace

27.09

C

58

Buck Ewing

27.06

C

59

Sherry Magee

26.84

OF

60

Johnny Bench

26.61

C

61

Roger Connor

26.60

1B

62

Willie Stargell

26.56

OF

63

George Gore

26.54

OF

64

Jason Giambi

26.50

1B

65

Barry Larkin

26.45

SS

66

Fred Clarke

26.40

OF

67

Gary Sheffield

26.39

OF

68

Manny Ramirez

26.39

OF

69

Charley Jones

26.36

OF

70

Rickey Henderson

26.34

OF

71

Mike Donlin

26.33

OF

72

Jesse Burkett

26.22

OF

73

Ken Griffey Jr.

26.22

OF

74

Frank Howard

26.17

OF

75

Reggie Smith

26.16

OF

76

Hack Wilson

26.13

OF

77

Pedro Guerrero

26.07

1B

78

Bobby Grich

25.94

2B

79

Will Clark

25.89

1B

80

George Stone

25.81

OF

81

Darryl Strawberry

25.81

OF

82

Norm Cash

25.81

1B

83

Harry Heilmann

25.75

OF

84

Craig Biggio

25.72

2B

85

Tom Haller

25.67

C

86

Roy Thomas

25.62

OF

87

Lou Boudreau

25.56

SS

88

Al Simmons

25.53

OF

89

Lefty O'Doul

25.50

OF

90

Paul Waner

25.47

OF

91

George Davis

25.39

SS

92

Chipper Jones

25.38

3B

93

Larry Doyle

25.37

2B

94

Bill Terry

25.33

1B

95

Jeff Heath

25.29

OF

96

Tony Gwynn

25.21

OF

97

Reggie Jackson

25.20

OF

98

Harry Stovey

25.14

OF

99

Earl Averill

25.12

OF

100

Bill Freehan

25.08

C

101

Fred Dunlap

25.08

2B

102

Ralph Kiner

25.07

OF

103

Heine Groh

25.05

3B

104

Ross Youngs

25.03

OF

105

Topsy Hartsel

24.97

OF

106

Larry Walker

24.96

OF

107

Roberto Alomar

24.96

2B

108

Edd Roush

24.95

OF

109

Tommy Henrich

24.92

OF

110

Jack Clark

24.90

OF

111

Jim O'Rourke

24.85

OF

112

Joe Medwick

24.83

OF

113

Jack Fournier

24.81

1B

114

George Van Haltren

24.79

OF

115

Al Kaline

24.75

OF

116

Hardy Richardson

24.72

2B

117

Roger Maris

24.72

OF

118

Wally Schang

24.72

C

119

Jimmy Wynn

24.67

OF

120

Tim Raines

24.67

OF

121

Lenny Dykstra

24.66

OF

122

Oyster Burns

24.65

OF

123

Zack Wheat

24.65

OF

124

Roy Cullenbine

24.64

OF

125

Stan Spence

24.63

OF

126

Kevin Mitchell

24.56

OF

127

Bill Dahlen

24.55

SS

128

Denny Lyons

24.52

3B

129

Hughie Jennings

24.52

SS

130

Bill Joyce

24.49

3B

131

Art Devlin

24.48

3B

132

Bernie Williams

24.45

OF

133

Harmon Killebrew

24.45

1B

134

Joe Cronin

24.42

SS

135

Cap Anson

24.40

1B

136

Hugh Duffy

24.39

OF

137

Jim Thome

24.35

1B

138

Augie Galan

24.34

OF

139

Joe Kelley

24.28

OF

140

Paul Hines

24.25

OF

141

Moises Alou

24.25

OF

142

Charlie Gehringer

24.24

2B

143

Gary Carter

24.21

C

144

Carlton Fisk

24.20

C

145

Mike Tiernan

24.20

OF

146

Bobby Bonds

24.19

OF

147

Heinie Zimmerman

24.16

3B

148

Ryne Sandberg

24.16

2B

149

Babe Herman

24.15

1B

150

Jimmy Sheckard

24.09

OF

151

Johnny Evers

24.09

2B

152

George Brett

24.08

3B

153

Stan Hack

24.07

3B

154

Edgar Martinez

24.05

DH

155

Edgardo Alfonzo

24.01

2B

156

Joe Gordon

23.99

2B

157

Riggs Stephenson

23.98

OF

158

Chick Stahl

23.95

OF

159

Roberto Clemente

23.92

OF

160

Luke Appling

23.91

SS

161

Fielder Jones

23.81

OF

162

Jimmy Collins

23.80

3B

163

Minnie Minoso

23.79

OF

164

Wade Boggs

23.77

3B

165

Darren Daulton

23.76

C

166

Jim Edmonds

23.75

OF

167

Ivan Rodriguez

23.74

C

168

Vern Stephens

23.72

SS

169

Danny Green

23.70

OF

170

Patsy Dougherty

23.69

OF

171

Ryan Klesko

23.65

OF

172

Ginger Beaumont

23.63

OF

173

Eric Davis

23.61

OF

174

Charlie Bennett

23.60

C

175

Albert Belle

23.60

OF

176

Rod Carew

23.59

1B

177

Cesar Cedeno

23.58

OF

178

Chick Hafey

23.57

OF

179

Keith Hernandez

23.56

1B

180

Don Buford

23.51

OF

181

Socks Seybold

23.50

OF

182

Dixie Walker

23.50

OF

183

Sam Thompson

23.49

OF

184

Frankie Frisch

23.48

2B

185

Tommy Leach

23.48

OF

186

David Justice

23.47

OF

187

Goose Goslin

23.42

OF

188

Boog Powell

23.40

1B

189

Rocky Colavito

23.40

OF

190

Art Fletcher

23.39

SS

191

Joe Tinker

23.37

SS

192

Kiki Cuyler

23.37

OF

193

Rick Monday

23.34

OF

194

Sam Mertes

23.33

OF

195

Danny Murphy

23.33

2B

196

Ken Williams

23.32

OF

197

Gil McDougald

23.30

2B

198

Bobby Murcer

23.26

OF

199

Bobby Wallace

23.26

SS

200

Kirby Puckett

23.25

OF

201

Mike Griffin

23.22

OF

202

Joe Torre

23.19

C

203

Andy Van Slyke

23.11

OF

204

Bob Johnson

23.11

OF

205

Orlando Cepeda

23.10

1B

206

Red Smith

23.10

3B

207

Tony Oliva

23.08

OF

208

Billy Williams

23.04

OF

209

Enos Slaughter

23.04

OF

210

Derek Jeter

23.02

SS

211

Jeff Kent

23.00

2B

212

Ezra Sutton

22.99

3B

213

Fred Lynn

22.90

OF

214

Ken Singleton

22.87

OF

215

Dolph Camilli

22.85

1B

216

Jim Fregosi

22.85

SS

217

Lou Whitaker

22.82

2B

218

Cupid Childs

22.81

2B

219

Ray Lankford

22.79

OF

220

George Burns

22.78

OF

221

Eddie Stanky

22.77

2B

222

Bob Elliott

22.71

3B

223

Bobby Veach

22.71

OF

224

Jose Cruz

22.71

OF

225

Bobby Doerr

22.68

2B

226

Ripper Collins

22.65

1B

227

Jim Ray Hart

22.64

3B

228

Kid Elberfeld

22.62

SS

229

Thurman Munson

22.61

C

230

Carl Yastrzemski

22.60

OF

231

Earle Combs

22.60

OF

232

Bill Nicholson

22.52

OF

233

Elston Howard

22.51

C

234

Amos Otis

22.47

OF

235

Jimmy Ryan

22.47

OF

236

Willie Keeler

22.45

OF

237

Buck Freeman

22.45

OF

238

Tim Salmon

22.44

OF

239

Earl Battey

22.42

C

240

Jack Glasscock

22.41

SS

241

Rafael Palmeiro

22.41

1B

242

John Titus

22.39

OF

243

Robin Yount

22.38

SS

244

Tony Lazzeri

22.36

2B

245

Billy Herman

22.35

2B

246

Pete Rose

22.35

OF

247

Gene Woodling

22.34

OF

248

Ron Santo

22.34

3B

249

Fred McGriff

22.33

1B

250

Ed Bailey

22.33

C

251

George Foster

22.31

OF

252

Phil Rizzuto

22.31

SS

253

Smoky Burgess

22.23

C

254

Don Mincher

22.22

1B

255

Bob Allison

22.22

OF

256

Sid Gordon

22.19

OF

257

John Olerud

22.19

1B

258

Abner Dalrymple

22.17

OF

259

Ernie Lombardi

22.15

C

260

Sal Bando

22.13

3B

261

Eddie Murray

22.09

1B

262

Walker Cooper

22.08

C

263

Don Mattingly

22.07

1B

264

Sammy Sosa

22.07

OF

265

Oscar Gamble

22.07

OF

266

Paul Molitor

22.06

DH

267

Ned Williamson

22.06

3B

268

Roy White

22.03

OF

269

Dom DiMaggio

22.01

OF

270

Ken Caminiti

22.01

3B

271

Bob O'Farrell

22.00

C

272

Howard Johnson

22.00

3B

273

Hal Trosky

21.99

1B

274

Alan Trammell

21.98

SS

275

Bob Watson

21.97

1B

276

Johnny Pesky

21.97

SS

277

John Kruk

21.96

1B

278

Heinie Manush

21.95

OF

279

Jimmy Williams

21.95

2B

280

Darrell Evans

21.91

3B

281

Darrell Porter

21.90

C

282

Richie Ashburn

21.90

OF

283

Tommy Holmes

21.89

OF

284

Ken Boyer

21.87

3B

285

Juan Gonzalez

21.86

OF

286

Solly Hofman

21.82

OF

287

Chet Lemon

21.81

OF

288

Dick McAuliffe

21.81

2B

289

Larry Gardner

21.77

3B

290

Dave Winfield

21.76

OF

291

Ron Cey

21.74

3B

292

Deacon White

21.72

3B

293

Jose Canseco

21.68

OF

294

Kevin McReynolds

21.68

OF

295

Johnny Kling

21.66

C

296

Curt Welch

21.65

OF

297

Pepper Martin

21.64

OF

298

Henry Larkin

21.63

1B

299

Robin Ventura

21.60

3B

300

Larry Parrish

21.57

3B

301

Joe Sewell

21.55

SS

302

Mike Scioscia

21.53

C

303

Rico Petrocelli

21.53

SS

304

Chuck Klein

21.52

OF

305

Pee Wee Reese

21.49

SS

306

Cal Ripken

21.48

SS

307

Tom Daly

21.48

2B

308

Ed Konetchy

21.47

1B

309

Rico Carty

21.44

OF

310

Pie Traynor

21.41

3B

311

Sixto Lezcano

21.40

OF

312

Billy Nash

21.40

3B

313

Dwayne Murphy

21.39

OF

314

Willie Randolph

21.37

2B

315

Woodie Held

21.34

SS

316

John Briggs

21.30

OF

317

Greg Luzinski

21.30

OF

318

Tim McCarver

21.30

C

319

Dwight Evans

21.28

OF

320

Matty McIntyre

21.28

OF

321

Ferris Fain

21.27

1B

322

Bill Madlock

21.27

3B

323

Willie Davis

21.24

OF

324

Bobby Avila

21.22

2B

325

John Roseboro

21.22

C

326

Kirk Gibson

21.22

OF

327

Toby Harrah

21.22

3B

328

George Grantham

21.21

2B

329

Davey Lopes

21.19

2B

330

Tom Tresh

21.18

OF

331

Casey Stengel

21.16

OF

332

Miller Huggins

21.16

2B

333

Dave Bancroft

21.14

SS

334

Max Carey

21.12

OF

335

Bill Doran

21.12

2B

336

Johnny Grubb

21.09

OF

337

Frank McCormick

21.09

1B

338

Ted Simmons

21.08

C

339

Dale Murphy

21.07

OF

340

Kenny Lofton

21.07

OF

341

Lonny Frey

21.05

2B

342

Norm Siebern

21.04

1B

343

Chuck Knoblauch

21.03

2B

344

Gil Hodges

21.03

1B

345

Dode Paskert

21.02

OF

346

Mark Grace

21.02

1B

347

Ival Goodman

21.02

OF

348

Raul Mondesi

21.00

OF

349

Johnny Callison

21.00

OF

350

Bid McPhee

20.99

2B

351

George Sisler

20.99

1B

352

Bobby Bonilla

20.96

3B

353

Joe Adcock

20.94

1B

354

Johnny Hopp

20.90

OF

355

Harry Davis

20.90

1B

356

Wildfire Schulte

20.89

OF

357

Kent Hrbek

20.88

1B

358

Matt Williams

20.88

3B

359

Ray Chapman

20.87

SS

360

Danny Tartabull

20.85

OF

361

Ken Griffey Sr.

20.85

OF

362

Mo Vaughn

20.83

1B

363

Hank Sauer

20.83

OF

364

Tony Perez

20.82

1B

365

Terry Puhl

20.82

OF

366

Dave Parker

20.81

OF

367

Del Crandall

20.78

C

368

Mickey Tettleton

20.75

C

369

Brian Downing

20.74

DH

370

Clyde Milan

20.74

OF

371

Ernie Banks

20.70

1B

372

Lonnie Smith

20.69

OF

373

Sam Rice

20.68

OF

374

Ellis Burks

20.66

OF

375

Ron Fairly

20.66

1B

376

Rusty Staub

20.66

OF

377

Max Bishop

20.64

2B

378

Rudy York

20.64

1B

379

Tony Fernandez

20.64

SS

380

Johnny Bates

20.61

OF

381

Del Pratt

20.61

2B

382

Jim Delahanty

20.60

2B

383

Curt Flood

20.58

OF

384

Elbie Fletcher

20.58

1B

385

Mike Hargrove

20.53

1B

386

Freddy Lindstrom

20.49

3B

387

Spud Davis

20.49

C

388

Bill Bradley

20.48

3B

389

Tony Gonzalez

20.47

OF

390

Travis Jackson

20.47

SS

391

Andre Dawson

20.46

OF

392

Ken Keltner

20.43

3B

393

Buddy Myer

20.42

2B

394

Luis Gonzalez

20.39

OF

395

Mike Mitchell

20.38

OF

396

Wally Moon

20.37

OF

397

Al Smith

20.37

OF

398

Roy Sievers

20.37

1B

399

Ben Chapman

20.35

OF

400

Gary Matthews

20.34

OF

401

Graig Nettles

20.34

3B

402

Doug DeCinces

20.33

3B

403

Ray Boone

20.31

3B

404

Harlond Clift

20.30

3B

405

Harry Hooper

20.30

OF

406

Andy Pafko

20.29

OF

407

Davey Johnson

20.28

2B

408

Bill White

20.27

1B

409

Richie Hebner

20.23

3B

410

Cecil Travis

20.23

SS

411

Al Oliver

20.21

OF

412

Herman Long

20.21

SS

413

Vic Wertz

20.21

OF

414

Wally Joyner

20.20

1B

415

Hank Bauer

20.19

OF

416

Jack Rowe

20.17

SS

417

Jim Rice

20.17

OF

418

Leon Wagner

20.16

OF

419

Paul O'Neill

20.15

OF

420

Harry Steinfeldt

20.14

3B

421

Andy Seminick

20.13

C

422

Richie Zisk

20.11

OF

423

Ron Hunt

20.10

2B

424

Jack Clements

20.10

C

425

Lou Brock

20.07

OF

426

Bill North

20.05

OF

427

Brett Butler

20.03

OF

428

Carl Furillo

20.03

OF

429

Jim Bottomley

20.01

1B

430

John Anderson

20.01

OF

431

Jim Northrup

20.01

OF

432

Carney Lansford

20.00

3B

433

John Mayberry

20.00

1B

434

Vada Pinson

20.00

OF

435

Eddie Joost

19.97

SS

436

Jesse Barfield

19.94

OF

437

Phil Cavarretta

19.94

1B

438

Jackie Jensen

19.93

OF

439

Ray Schalk

19.91

C

440

Johnny Logan

19.90

SS

441

Mickey Rivers

19.89

OF

442

Elmer Valo

19.89

OF

443

Jimmy Slagle

19.88

OF

444

Barney McCosky

19.88

OF

445

Wes Parker

19.84

1B

446

John Reilly

19.83

1B

447

Sam Wise

19.79

SS

448

Larry Hisle

19.79

OF

449

Ken McMullen

19.79

3B

450

Reggie Sanders

19.79

OF

451

Dusty Baker

19.79

OF

452

Alvin Davis

19.79

1B

453

Bob Meusel

19.78

OF

454

Earl Torgeson

19.75

1B

455

Felipe Alou

19.75

OF

456

Maury Wills

19.74

SS

457

Cy Williams

19.73

OF

458

George Kell

19.71

3B

459

Jeff Burroughs

19.69